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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 16th, 2023

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  • Yeah, I hate Trump and what he is doing but my very first thought was “this is a bullshit headline.”

    Statistically speaking, only a tiny fraction of people living in America have ever committed murder. Even if we believed that every murder was committed by a distinct individual and no murderer ever committed a second murder, the 6/100,000 annual homicide rate means that 0.006 percent of americans commit murder every year. If 1% of the people being deported are convicted murderers, that means a deportee is 167 times more likely to be a murderer than the average person - in other words, murderers are much more likely to be deported than non-murders, but they are not the only ones being targeted. The headline could have been much less (deliberately) misleading if they just wrote “Despite Vows to ONLY remove worst offenders, ICE deported many whose worst crimes were traffic offences.” This would have been true and still bad.

    Using the same assumptions as above, ICE could only deport 660 people each year (.006% * 11M undocumented immigrants) if they were truly committed to only deporting the “worst of the worst”. Since ICE’s daily quota is 3000, this is obviously a problem.

    People watch way too much Dexter and believe that murder is much more common than it is.